Fluminense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
FLU
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 3
FLU
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 2
VAS
24%
28%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 1
CEA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 2
GRÊ
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CEA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |