Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
FLU
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
GRE
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 2
FLA
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
COR
2 - 2
ATP
45%
28%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATP
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ATP
4 - 1
FOR
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |