Fluminense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
PAY
0 - 4
FLU
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
POR
2 - 2
FLU
43%
27%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLU
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
FLU
0 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
POR
2 - 1
VIT
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
PAY
1 - 1
POR
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
POR
2 - 2
FLU
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
DES
0 - 1
POR
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
POR
2 - 2
PIN
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |