Baiano 1 Round 4

Fluminense de Feira vs Vitória da Conquista analysis

Fluminense de Feira Vitória da Conquista
49 ELO 56
-15.2% Tilt -3.9%
5527º General ELO ranking 6600º
187º Country ELO ranking 256º
ELO win probability
26%
Fluminense de Feira
27%
Draw
46.9%
Vitória da Conquista

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
Fluminense de Feira
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.9%
Win probability
Vitória da Conquista
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense de Feira
+12%
-9%
Vitória da Conquista

ELO progression

Fluminense de Feira
Vitória da Conquista
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense de Feira
Fluminense de Feira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2017
FLU
Fluminense de Feira
2 - 0
Jacuipense
JAC
43%
25%
32%
47 46 1 0
04 Feb. 2017
GAL
Galicia EC
1 - 4
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
46%
25%
28%
46 44 2 +1
06 Nov. 2016
JEC
Jacobina
3 - 3
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
58%
22%
20%
45 52 7 +1
30 Oct. 2016
FLU
Fluminense de Feira
1 - 2
Jacobina
JEC
29%
25%
46%
46 51 5 -1
23 Oct. 2016
FLU
Fluminense de Feira
4 - 1
Cajazeiras
PIT
70%
18%
13%
46 22 24 0

Matches

Vitória da Conquista
Vitória da Conquista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2017
GAL
Galicia EC
0 - 3
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
25%
26%
49%
56 42 14 0
08 Feb. 2017
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 1
Coritiba
COT
16%
23%
61%
56 77 21 0
03 Feb. 2017
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
85%
11%
4%
56 76 20 0
29 Jan. 2017
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
59%
22%
19%
56 51 5 0
20 Nov. 2016
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 0
Jacobina
JEC
57%
22%
22%
55 50 5 +1