Flugels vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
KAR
1 - 2
FLU
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 0
SHO
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
KYO
0 - 1
FLU
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
SHI
4 - 2
FLU
47%
24%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
AVI
0 - 1
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
KAA
3 - 1
AVI
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
AVI
3 - 2
JEF
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
TOK
1 - 2
AVI
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 3
NAG
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |