Norwegian Fourth Division Round 14

Florø vs Hønefoss analysis

Florø Hønefoss
28 ELO 46
4.6% Tilt 7.6%
22614º General ELO ranking 3424º
216º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
16.6%
Florø
18.8%
Draw
64.6%
Hønefoss

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
Florø
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
64.6%
Win probability
Hønefoss
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Florø
-67%
+8%
Hønefoss

Points and table prediction

Florø
Their league position
Hønefoss
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
73
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eidsvold TF
75
75
100%
Hønefoss
73
73
100%
Elverum
52
52
100%
HamKam II
35
35
0%
Molde FK II
35
35
0%
Funnefoss / Vormsund
35
35
0%
Brumunddal
35
35
0%
Florø
30
30
100%
Hødd II
29
29
100%
Förde
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Spjelkavik
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Volda
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Sogndal II
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Raufoss II
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Florø
Hønefoss
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Florø
Hønefoss
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Florø
Florø
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2023
HOD
Hødd II
2 - 3
Florø
FLO
44%
22%
35%
29 26 3 0
01 Jul. 2023
FLO
Florø
1 - 2
Volda
VFC
68%
18%
15%
30 25 5 -1
25 Jun. 2023
SOF
Sogndal II
6 - 2
Florø
FLO
23%
20%
57%
33 22 11 -3
17 Jun. 2023
HON
Hønefoss
2 - 0
Florø
FLO
74%
16%
10%
34 44 10 -1
10 Jun. 2023
FLO
Florø
1 - 1
Elverum
ELV
18%
21%
61%
33 45 12 +1

Matches

Hønefoss
Hønefoss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2023
HON
Hønefoss
2 - 0
HamKam II
HAM
87%
9%
4%
45 25 20 0
01 Jul. 2023
HON
Hønefoss
4 - 0
Förde
FOR
65%
19%
16%
45 37 8 0
25 Jun. 2023
SPJ
Spjelkavik
1 - 2
Hønefoss
HON
14%
18%
68%
44 30 14 +1
17 Jun. 2023
HON
Hønefoss
2 - 0
Florø
FLO
74%
16%
10%
44 34 10 0
11 Jun. 2023
HOD
Hødd II
0 - 4
Hønefoss
HON
19%
19%
62%
44 28 16 0