FC Flora vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
2º
1º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
FLO
16%
22%
61%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 2
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
FLO
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 0
KUR
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 2
TRA
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
HJP
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAI
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
12 - 0
FPC
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |