FC Flora vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
2º
1º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LSK
2 - 2
FLO
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 2
TRA
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
FLO
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
VAL
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HOA
2 - 1
HJP
18%
20%
62%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
KAL
32%
22%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 0
HJP
32%
22%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
TJK
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HJP
4 - 3
LEV
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |