Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-2
FC Flora vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
FLO
3 - 0
PAR
89%
9%
3%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 2
FLO
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
DJU
0 - 0
FLO
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
KAL
1 - 7
FLO
14%
21%
66%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
FLO
3 - 3
TRA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
DJU
1 - 2
HEL
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
HEL
2 - 0
DJU
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
DJU
0 - 0
FLO
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
DJU
1 - 2
GÖT
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 1
DJU
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |