Albania First Division Normal Season Round 22

Flamurtari vs Besa Kavajë analysis

Flamurtari Besa Kavajë
59 ELO 54
0.6% Tilt -9.4%
3106º General ELO ranking 3491º
12º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Flamurtari
24.1%
Draw
20.8%
Besa Kavajë

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
Flamurtari
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.8%
Win probability
Besa Kavajë
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamurtari
+10%
+8%
Besa Kavajë

Points and table prediction

Flamurtari
Their league position
Besa Kavajë
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
74
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vora
76
76
100%
Flamurtari
75
75
100%
Besa Kavajë
74
74
100%
Burreli
58
58
100%
Pogradeci
49
49
100%
Apolonia Fier
45
45
100%
Lushnja
44
44
100%
Korabi Peshkopi
41
41
100%
Kastrioti Krujë
38
38
100%
Kukësi
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Valbona
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Erzeni Shijak
12º
11
11
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flamurtari
Besa Kavajë
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Flamurtari
Besa Kavajë
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamurtari
Flamurtari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
LUS
Lushnja
0 - 3
Flamurtari
FLA
27%
27%
46%
58 50 8 0
26 Jan. 2025
FLA
Flamurtari
3 - 0
Kastrioti Krujë
KRU
61%
22%
17%
57 50 7 +1
20 Jan. 2025
POG
Pogradeci
0 - 0
Flamurtari
FLA
29%
27%
44%
58 50 8 -1
11 Jan. 2025
FLA
Flamurtari
3 - 0
Korabi Peshkopi
KOR
72%
18%
10%
57 45 12 +1
21 Dec. 2024
KFV
Valbona
0 - 1
Flamurtari
FLA
30%
26%
44%
57 44 13 0

Matches

Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
BES
Besa Kavajë
2 - 1
Kukësi
KUK
61%
22%
17%
55 47 8 0
26 Jan. 2025
VOR
Vora
1 - 1
Besa Kavajë
BES
58%
22%
20%
55 56 1 0
19 Jan. 2025
BES
Besa Kavajë
2 - 3
Erzeni Shijak
ERZ
73%
17%
10%
56 42 14 -1
15 Jan. 2025
VLZ
Vllaznia
1 - 0
Besa Kavajë
BES
71%
18%
12%
56 66 10 0
11 Jan. 2025
BUR
Burreli
1 - 1
Besa Kavajë
BES
27%
29%
44%
56 51 5 0