Flamengo SP vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
RIO
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
0 - 0
FLA
56%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
PRI
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 1
GRÊ
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
GRÊ
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 5
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
10 - 0
GRÊ
79%
15%
7%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | -1 |