Flamengo SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
FLA
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATI
32%
26%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
ATI
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 2
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 0
COM
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
SJS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |