Piauiense Inicial Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Flamengo PI vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 2
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
FLA
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
3 - 2
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
PIA
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 2
CAC
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
4DE
6 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
1 - 1
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |