Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAR
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIV
32%
29%
39%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
3 - 2
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
CAC
1 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
CAC
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CAC
1 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAC
0 - 0
PIA
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |