Flamengo PI vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
3 - 0
FLA
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
BOT
3 - 0
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
AME
3 - 0
FLA
51%
22%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
0 - 0
FLA
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
4 - 1
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
CEA
2 - 0
AME
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
CEA
1 - 0
MOT
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
0 - 0
FLA
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
3 - 0
RIV
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
40%
31%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |