Flamengo PI vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 3
4DE
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PIC
2 - 3
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
PIC
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
4DE
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 3
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |