Virsliga Normal Season Round 4

FK Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova analysis

FK Tukums 2000 SK Super Nova
63 ELO 64
24.2% Tilt 25.3%
2489º General ELO ranking 2321º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.1%
FK Tukums 2000
23.5%
Draw
26.5%
SK Super Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
FK Tukums 2000
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
SK Super Nova
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Tukums 2000
-19%
+4%
SK Super Nova

Points and table prediction

FK Tukums 2000
Their league position
SK Super Nova
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
22
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Riga FC
61
82
59%
FK RFS
58
79
59%
FK Liepāja
38
59
58.5%
FK Auda
37
57
49%
BFC Daugavpils
33
50
67.5%
FS Jelgava
27
39
45.5%
FK Tukums 2000
21
36
27%
SK Super Nova
22
34
26.5%
Grobiņa
20
34
22.5%
FK Metta
10º
17
29
10º
60.5%
Expected probabilities
FK Tukums 2000
SK Super Nova
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
69.5% 66%
Relegation play-offs
20% 26.5%
Relegation
10.5% 7.5%

ELO progression

FK Tukums 2000
SK Super Nova
FK RFS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga FC
FK Auda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
FSM
FK Metta
3 - 2
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
41%
24%
35%
64 64 0 0
12 Mar. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
0 - 0
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
62%
22%
16%
63 76 13 +1
07 Mar. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
3 - 0
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
45%
24%
31%
64 66 2 -1
22 Feb. 2025
SUD
Sūduva
0 - 1
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
39%
26%
36%
64 72 8 0
15 Feb. 2025
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
5 - 0
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
67%
18%
15%
64 78 14 0

Matches

SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
63%
22%
15%
64 76 12 0
12 Mar. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
4 - 0
FK Metta
FSM
42%
24%
34%
62 65 3 +2
06 Mar. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
68%
20%
12%
63 76 13 -1
16 Feb. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
0 - 0
Narva Trans
TRA
34%
23%
43%
62 70 8 +1
15 Feb. 2025
DTE
Dziugas Telsiai
0 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
44%
24%
32%
62 66 4 0