FK Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FKT
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
FKT
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 2
AUD
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
LIE
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 1
SUP
25%
20%
55%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
LIE
7%
17%
77%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |