Transinvest Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
6º
1º
27
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 77 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 63 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 56 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 52 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 47 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 24 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transinvest Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 2
FKT
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FKE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKS
0 - 5
FKT
5%
10%
85%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 2
FKT
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 1
NEV
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
FKK
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKK
5 - 2
SIA
41%
23%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
FHL
55%
22%
22%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |