Slutsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
16º
9º
26
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
FKS
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 0
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 0
FKS
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 1
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 0
FKS
43%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 0
FKA
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 0
NAF
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 0
SHA
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ISL
3 - 0
NAF
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 4
VIT
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |