Riltzi vs Lokomotiv Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
7º
20
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 0
FKR
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
LUD
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 1
FKR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKR
2 - 1
CMV
16%
18%
66%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
6 - 1
FKR
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 0
SGT
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FSV
0 - 0
LOR
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 0
CHE
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 2
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 0
BOT
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |