Riltzi vs Cherno More Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
7º
46
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
6 - 1
FKR
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FKR
4 - 0
SGT
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FSV
0 - 1
FKR
67%
17%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 0
CHE
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
1 - 3
FKR
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 2
CMV
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 2
SGT
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 0
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 1
CMV
9%
14%
76%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CMV
5 - 0
BOT
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |