UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 4-1
FK Panevėžys vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
HLI
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
BAN
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 3
PAN
22%
29%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
DAI
62%
24%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 0
PAN
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
EKE
0 - 0
HJK
17%
20%
63%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
HJK
3 - 1
KUO
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TUP
0 - 5
HJK
4%
9%
87%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | 0 |