Otrant Ulcinj vs Mladost DG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
53
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 77% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
BOK
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOM
1 - 2
OUL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
MLJ
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
2 - 1
ZET
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FKM
3 - 1
KOM
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MLJ
3 - 0
FKM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 4
ZET
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FKM
1 - 2
GRB
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
FKM
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |