Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Bokelj analysis


45	ELO	55
-12.2%	Tilt	5.2%
2262º	General ELO ranking	2220º
11º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

27.1%

Otrant Ulcinj

28.7%

Draw

44.1%

FK Bokelj

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

27.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%

28.7%

Draw

0-0

11.3%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

28.7%

44.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-24%

-27%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

38

5º

10º

7º

47

1º

10º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	53	61	1º	77%
2º	49	56	2º	41%
3º	48	56	3º	28%
4º	47	54	4º	41%
5º	44	51	5º	43.5%
7º	38	45	6º	12%
8º	38	45	7º	24.5%
6º	39	45	8º	29.5%
9º	34	41	9º	39.5%
10º	0	39	10º	50.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	32.5%
Mid-table	88.5%	67.5%
Relegation	11.5%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Otrant Ulcinj

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Aug. 2022	KOM 1 - 0 OUL 57% 23% 20%	46	54	8	0
17 Aug. 2022	OUL 0 - 0 MLJ 23% 26% 51%	46	55	9	0
04 Jul. 2020	OUL 4 - 3 MOR 33% 26% 41%	45	48	3	+1
28 Jun. 2020	DEC 4 - 0 OUL 68% 19% 13%	46	59	13	-1
24 Jun. 2020	OUL 2 - 0 FKD 28% 25% 47%	44	50	6	+2

Matches

FK Bokelj

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Aug. 2022	BOK 2 - 1 OFK 46% 27% 27%	54	50	4	0
17 Aug. 2022	KOM 3 - 0 BOK 40% 28% 31%	56	53	3	-2
24 May. 2022	IGA 0 - 4 BOK 33% 30% 37%	55	50	5	+1
20 May. 2022	BOK 1 - 1 FKM 38% 27% 35%	55	54	1	0
15 May. 2022	BOK 2 - 0 JED 31% 28% 42%	54	58	4	+1