Orlovets vs Septemvri Tervel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FOP
3 - 1
LUD
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SKS
1 - 1
FOP
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FOP
2 - 0
SHA
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
DVE
0 - 2
FOP
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FOP
2 - 1
RAS
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Tervel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SEP
1 - 0
DVE
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RAS
0 - 0
SEP
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SEP
2 - 0
ECB
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SEP
0 - 3
BEN
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 1
SEP
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |