Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Neftçi vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
SGD
2 - 1
FKN
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 0
FKN
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DYN
2 - 2
FKN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FKN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SIM
0 - 0
FKN
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FCK
4 - 0
FKC
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FKC
0 - 5
FCK
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
FCK
3 - 1
RUD
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZAV
1 - 2
FCK
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
FCK
1 - 1
DOM
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |