AFC Champions League Elite Qualification Preliminary Round Final

Global 1-3

Neftçi vs Al Zawraa analysis

Neftçi Al Zawraa
72 ELO 71
1.2% Tilt 2.9%
1418º General ELO ranking 1499º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57%
Neftçi
22.3%
Draw
20.7%
Al Zawraa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Neftçi
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.7%
Win probability
Al Zawraa
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neftçi
-1%
+29%
Al Zawraa

ELO progression

Neftçi
Al Zawraa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neftçi
Neftçi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1996
CSK
ZSKA Dushanbe
1 - 4
Neftçi
FKN
10%
20%
70%
73 34 39 0
14 Sep. 1996
FKN
Neftçi
4 - 1
ZSKA Dushanbe
CSK
86%
11%
3%
73 34 39 0
24 Jul. 1996
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
6 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
70%
16%
14%
74 77 3 -1
17 Jul. 1996
FKN
Neftçi
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
50%
22%
28%
73 78 5 +1
23 Jun. 1995
FKN
Neftçi
1 - 1
Turan-T
TUR
68%
20%
12%
74 61 13 -1

Matches

Al Zawraa
Al Zawraa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 1995
ALZ
Al Zawraa
2 - 1
Al-Arabi Doha
ARA
61%
22%
18%
70 67 3 0
01 Oct. 1995
ARA
Al-Arabi Doha
3 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
42%
25%
33%
71 66 5 -1
08 Sep. 1995
ALZ
Al Zawraa
3 - 1
Al Wahda
AWJ
80%
14%
6%
71 48 23 0
01 Sep. 1995
AWJ
Al Wahda
5 - 2
Al Zawraa
ALZ
17%
23%
61%
72 46 26 -1