Norin vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 2
XOR
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
UDJ
2 - 1
NAR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
YOZ
0 - 3
NAR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
NUR
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAR
5 - 1
GIJ
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
UDJ
6 - 4
ORO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
ORO
1 - 3
SEM
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ORO
3 - 2
YOZ
49%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GIJ
2 - 3
ORO
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 0
ORO
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |