FK Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 0
FKM
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FKM
2 - 3
SAT
29%
30%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 2
FKM
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FKM
0 - 1
DIN
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 0
FKM
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
CSK
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
KRS
1 - 1
CHE
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZEN
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
ELI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |