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Liga de Fútbol Amateur de Rusia. Moscow oblast, Matchday 8

Metallist Korolev vs Mbus Ssh Saturn analysis

Metallist Korolev Mbus Ssh Saturn
13 ELO 15
119% Tilt 97%
29473º General ELO ranking 30125º
411º Country ELO ranking 448º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Metallist Korolev
16.6%
Draw
23.7%
Mbus Ssh Saturn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
Metallist Korolev
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
4.6%
5-3
1.8%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
6.1%
4-3
3%
5-4
0.9%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.5%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
0.1%
0
16.6%
23.7%
Win probability
Mbus Ssh Saturn
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metallist Korolev
+53%
+2%
Mbus Ssh Saturn

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Balashikha
75
75
100%
Peresvet
71
73
100%
Zorkiy
61
61
100%
Zvyagino Pushkino
57
57
50%
Olimp Balashikha
57
57
50%
Sergiyev Posad
53
53
100%
Dolgoprudny II
47
47
50%
Metallist Korolev
47
47
50%
Vityaz Noginsk
44
44
100%
Kobart Lobnya
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Legion Ivanteyevka
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Znamya Noginsk II
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Lyubertsy
13º
24
24
14º
50%
Mbus Ssh Saturn
14º
24
24
13º
50%
Prialit
15º
12
13
15º
100%
Saturn II
16º
9
9
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Metallist Korolev
Mbus Ssh Saturn
Next phase
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Metallist Korolev
FMK
Mbus Ssh Saturn
MSS
Prialit
FPR
Olimp Balashikha
OSB
Saturn II
SAT
Dolgoprudny II
DOL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metallist Korolev
Metallist Korolev
1%
X%
2%
ELO FMK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
FMK
Metallist Korolev
7 - 3
Prialit
FPR
45%
27%
28%
163 161 2 +2
22 May. 2021
BVN
Vityaz Noginsk
3 - 0
Metallist Korolev
FMK
46%
27%
27%
165 164 -1 -2
15 May. 2021
FMK
Metallist Korolev
3 - 1
Legion Ivanteyevka
FLI
46%
27%
27%
171 181 -10 +2
08 May. 2021
FKL
Kobart Lobnya
1 - 1
Metallist Korolev
FMK
45%
27%
28%
190 213 23 0
31 Oct. 2020
DOL
Dolgoprudny II
3 - 0
Metallist Korolev
FMK
45%
27%
28%
214 220 6 -2

Matches

Mbus Ssh Saturn
Mbus Ssh Saturn
1%
X%
2%
ELO MSS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
MSS
Mbus Ssh Saturn
2 - 3
Vityaz Noginsk
BVN
45%
27%
28%
174 166 8 -1
22 May. 2021
FLI
Legion Ivanteyevka
5 - 2
Mbus Ssh Saturn
MSS
46%
27%
27%
176 172 -4 -2
15 May. 2021
MSS
Mbus Ssh Saturn
1 - 7
Kobart Lobnya
FKL
46%
27%
27%
186 192 -6 -2
08 May. 2021
MSS
Mbus Ssh Saturn
1 - 7
Zvyagino Pushkino
FZP
46%
27%
27%
210 214 -4 -2