AFC Champions League Elite Group A Round 4

FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis

FK Lokomotiv Tashkent Esteghlal Tehran
68 ELO 75
14% Tilt 1.4%
2616º General ELO ranking 1246º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36%
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
24.5%
Draw
39.5%
Esteghlal Tehran

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.5%
Win probability
Esteghlal Tehran
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
-3%
+9%
Esteghlal Tehran

ELO progression

FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
Esteghlal Tehran
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2017
SHO
Shurtan
2 - 0
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
16%
23%
61%
79 59 20 0
31 Mar. 2017
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
5 - 0
FC AGMK
OLM
81%
13%
5%
79 57 22 0
13 Mar. 2017
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
2 - 0
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
55%
23%
21%
69 76 7 +10
08 Mar. 2017
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
3 - 0
Sogdiana
SOG
62%
21%
17%
69 61 8 0
03 Mar. 2017
MAS
Mashʼal
0 - 1
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
43%
26%
31%
69 67 2 0

Matches

Esteghlal Tehran
Esteghlal Tehran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2017
GOT
Gostaresh Foulad
1 - 1
Esteghlal Tehran
EST
29%
27%
45%
80 71 9 0
01 Apr. 2017
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
1 - 0
Foolad Khuzestan
FOO
57%
25%
18%
80 77 3 0
13 Mar. 2017
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
2 - 0
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
55%
23%
21%
76 69 7 +4
08 Mar. 2017
SAI
Saipa
1 - 2
Esteghlal Tehran
EST
37%
29%
34%
75 74 1 +1
04 Mar. 2017
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
1 - 1
Mashhad
SIA
71%
20%
10%
75 63 12 0