FK Liepāja vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
3º
67
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 81 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
86.5% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HLI
3 - 3
LIE
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
4 - 1
GRO
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
4 - 0
FSM
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 1
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
AUD
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
3 - 1
CAR
42%
22%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |