FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
3º
34
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
87.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 2
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 0
AUD
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
KFV
0 - 2
LIE
3%
8%
89%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
LIE
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
BFC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 0
FKJ
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 4
VLZ
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FSL
2 - 4
BFC
6%
12%
83%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |