FS Jelgava vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
9º
6º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKJ
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 3
CAR
13%
24%
64%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 5
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 6
RIG
6%
16%
78%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |