FS Jelgava vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
6º
21
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
LIE
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
FKJ
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FKJ
3 - 1
AUD
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
AUD
4 - 1
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
CAR
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FSM
44%
24%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |