Gubkin vs Saturn-2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 0
FKG
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 2
LOK
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
FKG
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 0
NIM
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
APO
0 - 0
FKG
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
KOS
2 - 1
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 1
KOS
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOS
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KOS
0 - 1
MET
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 1
KOS
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |