Gubkin vs Yelets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FKG
1 - 0
ORE
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
MET
0 - 3
FKG
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
FAK
0 - 1
FKG
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
FKG
2 - 0
ZNA
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
FKG
0 - 0
KOS
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Yelets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 0
YEL
69%
21%
10%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
YEL
0 - 1
DIN
14%
23%
63%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
YEL
0 - 1
DNE
28%
27%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 0
YEL
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FAK
2 - 0
YEL
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |