Gostivar vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
5º
5º
34
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
AKP
0 - 1
GOS
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
GOS
0 - 0
RAB
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOS
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BES
0 - 0
GOS
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GOS
1 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
AKP
0 - 1
GOS
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VOK
3 - 1
AKP
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 1
ARE
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 2
SHK
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PEL
0 - 0
AKP
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |