Desna Sub 21 vs Mariupol Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
57.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
LVI
6 - 5
DES
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
DES
1 - 2
ZOL
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 3
ILL
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SHD
1 - 0
DES
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
DES
0 - 3
DYN
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Mariupol Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
SKD
4 - 4
ILL
20%
19%
62%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SKD
3 - 2
ILL
14%
16%
70%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ILL
1 - 1
VOP
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 3
ILL
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
2 - 0
ZOL
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +3 |