Bashkimi vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
9º
8º
3
4º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 36 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 36 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 35 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 28 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 28 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
1 | 27 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 27 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 24 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 23 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
ARE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 2
KFP
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
FER
49%
22%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
1 - 1
BAS
49%
21%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
CSS
0 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAK
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FCS
3 - 0
OHR
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
FCS
5 - 3
VOR
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCS
4 - 0
KFS
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
LLA
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |