FK Arendal vs Aalesunds FK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
3º
23
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
FKA
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 3
NOT
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
ORN
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 1
JER
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
RIL
0 - 8
FKA
6%
12%
82%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Aalesunds FK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 2
LYN
23%
21%
56%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
AAL
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AAL
0 - 1
EGE
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
KJE
1 - 0
AAL
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 1
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |