Botev Vratsa II vs FC Sevlievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
14º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 0
ABV
47%
22%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ABV
2 - 1
FKD
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
YPT
4 - 2
ABV
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ABV
1 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIH
2 - 2
ABV
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sevlievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SEV
4 - 0
BTL
78%
13%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAV
0 - 5
SEV
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 2
JUV
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FKD
1 - 4
SEV
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
YPT
1 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |