Agat vs Cherepovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
65.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
9º
9º
41
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
3 - 1
AGY
81%
12%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AGY
1 - 1
DIN
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 1
AGY
27%
21%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AGY
1 - 0
FKS
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FDV
0 - 5
AGY
8%
13%
79%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
3 - 1
AGY
81%
12%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
5 - 0
FDV
91%
7%
3%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 7
FKC
30%
22%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
KCC
2 - 0
FKC
20%
19%
61%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
STO
0 - 3
FKC
13%
17%
71%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |