La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |