La Fiorita vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 3
TPE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
DOM
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
FOL
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 1
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |