La Fiorita vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 2
FIO
13%
19%
68%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 2
VIR
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FOL
5 - 0
CAI
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |