Fiorentino vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 1
FIO
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LIB
4 - 1
FIO
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
COS
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SGI
0 - 1
COS
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
FIO
3 - 2
COS
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |