Serie A Round 3

Fiorentina vs Sampdoria analysis

Fiorentina Sampdoria
87 ELO 76
-11.4% Tilt -9.3%
20º General ELO ranking 381º
Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
71.5%
Fiorentina
16.6%
Draw
11.9%
Sampdoria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
Fiorentina
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.9%
Win probability
Sampdoria
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-4%
-1%
Sampdoria

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Sampdoria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1963
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
67%
19%
14%
86 82 4 0
15 Sep. 1963
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
25%
26%
49%
86 71 15 0
09 Sep. 1963
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
25%
25%
50%
86 69 17 0
26 May. 1963
CAT
Catania
0 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
24%
26%
50%
86 74 12 0
19 May. 1963
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
73%
16%
11%
86 76 10 0

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1963
ROM
Roma
6 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
74%
15%
11%
77 85 8 0
15 Sep. 1963
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
63%
21%
16%
76 68 8 +1
09 Sep. 1963
ACP
Prato
2 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
32%
25%
43%
77 58 19 -1
26 May. 1963
MAN
Mantova
3 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
44%
26%
31%
78 76 2 -1
19 May. 1963
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
65%
20%
14%
78 70 8 0