Coppa Italia . Last 16
Global 5-0
Fiorentina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
4 - 0
LEC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
REG
1 - 2
FIO
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
STB
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATL
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |